Closing Bell: Indices revert gains in late trade as Nifty ends below 11,650; BPCL down 4%

Market Close: Benchmark indices ended near day's low after Skymet predicts below normal monsoon due to developing El Nino.

Sensex and Nifty touched record high in the early trade today.

At close, the Sensex was down 179.53 points at 38877.12, while Nifty was down 69.20 points at 11,644. About 998 shares have advanced, 1574 shares declined, and 157 shares are unchanged 

BPCL, Zee Entertainment, IOC, SBI and GAIL were the top losers on the Nifty, while gainers were Indiabulls Housing, Maruti Suzuki, Bajaj Finserv, HCL Tech and JSW Steel.

All the sectoral indices ended in red led by PSU bank (down 2.5 percent) followed by pharma, infra, energy, IT, metal, auto and FMCG.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-indices-revert-gains-in-late-trade-as-nifty-ends-below-11650-bpcl-down-4-3751991.html

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What makes this smallcap a good value buy?

Himatsingka Seide (HSL), one of India’s largest home textile majors and exporters, draws our attention on account of improving business fundamentals. Conclusion of capex cycle by H1 FY20, higher contribution from branded products, an uptick in utilisation rates and undemanding valuations make us bullish on the stock.

Q3 review

Positives

- Sales grew on the back of higher contribution from branded products (84 percent of Q3 sales)

- Gross and operating margins expanded noticeably because of a good product mix and full benefits of captive consumption (ie. yarn being utilised to manufacture bed sheets)

Negatives

- Forex losses resulted in other income declining sharply year-on-year (YoY)

- Depreciation and interest costs rose significantly YoY due to investments in the terry towel plant

- Tax rate increased marginally YoY

- The above factors led to a marginal reduction in PAT (profit after tax) margins

Why consider investing?

Capex intensity is waning

By September 2019, HSL’s terry towel facility is likely to be set up. Post this, barring regular maintenance capital expenditure, there is no big expansion plan.

Depreciation and financing charges, that rose noticeably in the past 4 quarters due to investments in the terry towel project, are likely to reduce from H2 FY20 onwards. This is because impetus will be laid on debt repayment. Consequently, bottom-line margins, working capital cycle and cash flows should improve.

Utilisation rates are likely to go up

In Q3 FY17, HSL expanded its bed sheet manufacturing capacity from 23 mmpa (million metres per annum) to 46 mmpa. Utilisation levels in respect of both (ie. original and new capacity) are stable at the moment. As the company’s order book (particularly for branded products) grows, there will be a corresponding uptick in manufacturing activities. This, in turn, should help achieve operating leverage.

Debottlenecking of bed sheet manufacturing capacity has been concluded in Q3 FY19, thereby resulting in an increase in capacity to the tune of 15 mmpa. This new capacity will be utilised for manufacturing products that yield lower realisations, implying that sales growth, to this extent, will be volume-driven.

Once the terry towel facility becomes operational, utilisation levels should start moving up too.

Sale of branded products on an uptrend

In 9M FY19, brands constituted about 85.6 percent of the top-line as against 71 percent in FY18. HSL’s own brands are making their presence felt in the financials.

HSL will complete integration of manufacturing processes of the Tommy Hilfiger brand by Q4 FY19-end.

Rights to sell ‘Calvin Klein Home’ products globally have been acquired. Previously, HSL could sell products only in North America.

Since branded products, especially own brands and fashion bedding variants, command better realisations vis-a-vis their unbranded counterparts, HSL’s margins should start moving up gradually.

Risks

To mitigate risks associated with regional concentration, HSL is exploring markets in Europe and Asia. Nevertheless, at the moment, the US market alone comprises nearly 85-90 percent of HSL’s annual top-line. Therefore, Trump’s actions of withdrawing the preferential trade treatment granted to Indian exporters may affect the company’s future revenue visibility.

Indian Rupee’s appreciation vis-à-vis the US dollar would impact product realisations to the extent of unhedged cash flows. Raw material (cotton) costs are not showing any signs of moderation as of now.

Competitive pressure from nations such as Pakistan, Vietnam and Bangladesh continues to persist.

Signs of consumption slowdown in international markets can hit the order book.

Outlook

HSL’s stock price has been on a downward spiral during the course of the last 12 months. This is primarily on account of market volatility and YoY dip in PAT (profit after tax) margins since the last 3 quarters.

After a sharp 47 percent correction from its 52-week high, the stock trades at an undemanding 6.7 times its FY21 projected earnings. This makes it a good value buy.

However, it is pertinent to note that any meaningful re-rating in HSL’s valuation multiples may be seen only from H2 FY20.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/moneycontrol-research/ideas-for-profit-what-makes-this-smallcap-a-good-value-buy-3724171.html

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International Market Update

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United Breweries jumps 6% on report of Heineken raising stake in co

United Breweries shares rallied 6 percent in the morning trade on March 27 after a media report indicated that Heineken raised its stake in the company.

The stock was quoting at Rs 1,409.80, up Rs 61.90, or 4.59 percent on the BSE, at 0936 hours IST.

According to the report by CNBC-TV18 quoting unnamed sources, Heineken purchased an additional 75 lakh shares (representing 2.8 percent of total paid-up equity of company) of United Breweries through block deal at Rs 1,395 apiece.

Out of total promoter holding, Heineken held 43.7 percent equity stake in United Breweries and Vijay Mallya has 8.08 percent holding in the company as of December 2018.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/united-breweries-jumps-6-on-report-of-heineken-raising-stake-in-co-3707811.html

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These 30 stocks made most of the bull run, rallied 30-99% in a month

With D-Street riding a crest, stocks across sectors posted handsome gains.In the BSE 500 index, which gained 9 percent in 1 month, 30 stocks rallied in the range of 30 percent to 99 percent, which also include stocks that singed in September and October due to factors such as corporate governance issues, liquidity crisis and mixed earnings.

Suzlon Energy, Manpasand Beverages, Dilip Buildcon, Edelweiss Financial, CG Power, Bombay Dyeing, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Mahindra Holidays, NBCC, IRB Infrastructure, Just Dial, ICICI Securities, Kalpataru Power Transmission and Can Fin Homes were among the top 30 stocks.

On hopes of Modi government returning to power, FIIs are also in a bullish mood.

"After the clarity on the election results and earnings pickup, we feel, FIIs will do historic investments this year," Foram Parekh, Fundamental Analyst – Equity, Indiabulls Ventures, told Moneycontrol.

The most favoured stocks in this run were among midcaps and smallcaps.

In Nifty50, top four stocks were from PSU segment. They were HPCL (up 35 percent), IOC (up 29 percent), BPCL (21 percent) and NTPC (21 percent) while the rest five among top 10 stocks were from banking and financial segment. Yes Bank, Bajaj Finserv, IndusInd Bank, ICICI Bank and SBI gained 15-17 percent.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/these-30-stocks-made-most-of-the-bull-run-rallied-30-99-in-a-month-3683761.html

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Closing Bell: Sensex ends higher, Nifty holds 11,500; PNB gains 3%

Market Close: Benchmark indices ended mixed after they remained range bound throughout Wednesday. 

The Sensex was up 23.28 points at 38386.75, while Nifty was down 11.40 points at 11521. About 1104 shares have advanced, 1532 shares declined, and 173 shares are unchanged. 

Indiabulls Housing, Hindalco Industries, Infosys, Dr Reddy’s Labs and Wipro were among major gainers, while losers include HPCL, Zee Entertainment, BPCL, NTPC and ONGC on the Nifty.

Except bank, pharma and IT all other sectoral indices are ended in red led by auto, metal, energy, FMCG and infra.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-sensex-ends-higher-nifty-holds-11500-pnb-gains-3-3669791.html

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Sensex back above 38K: Here’s how you can allocate Rs 10 lakh right now

It is not the time to invest because of the massive up move we saw in the last few days. The market might be overvalued right now. If these are your thoughts, rest assured you are not alone.

History suggests that retail investors joined the rally near highs and booked profits or closed positions when the time came to add positions. Well, the market is certainly not at its peak but the risk-to-reward ratio might have come down at least for the near term.

But, if you plan to stay in the market for the long term – the time is still right, suggest experts, and efficient portfolio allocation would be the key for wealth generation.

The market has sprinted in March to reclaim lost glory as Sensex and Nifty both are above crucial resistance levels.

The S&P BSE Sensex has rallied 2,157 points, or about 6 percent, so far in March while Nifty50 has registered a vertical climb of 634 points, or 5.8 percent.

So, what fuelled the rally? Well, a host of global as well as domestic factors led to strong risk-on sentiment towards equities. The gush of liquidity from foreign institutional investors of about Rs 19,000 crores has been the major factor driving the rally.

“Weakness in the US dollar is normally positive for emerging market inflows and India has got more than the fair share of foreign inflows due to improving macro scenario and market sentiments,” Gaurav Dua, head of research, Sharekhan by BNP Paribas told Moneycontrol.

“Recent events have increased the probability of the NDA government gaining higher than earlier expected seats in the forthcoming elections boosting market sentiment. The rally is seen across financial markets - equities, bond and appreciation in the rupee despite the rising fears of fiscal slippages,” he said.

Time to put additional funds?

Experts feel that the time is fairly right for investors to get into market and dips, if any, should be used for making a diversified portfolio which leads to long-term wealth creation.

Here are views from various experts on allocation if you are looking to invest right now. We have taken Rs 10 lakh as investment corpus:

“The strategy at the current phase should be focused towards having a proper balance across different asset classes. And therefore, by keeping a long-term view, an investor can allocate 40 percent of total amount, say Rs 10 lakhs, in quality large-cap companies coupled with a marginal allocation of 10 percent in midcap/small cap companies which have to be backed by decent valuation,” Dinesh Rohira. Founder & CEO at 5nance.com told Moneycontrol.

“It is also practical to allocate 30-40 percent of overall allocation in debt instrument with short-to-medium maturity papers given a possible pause in interest rate regime going forward, and remaining 10 percent to be allocated in gold or gold funds,” he said.

He further added that while investing in equity, one should follow a staggered approach and gradually increase the allocation once the market stabilizes in a fair trend.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/stocks/sensex-back-above-38k-heres-how-you-can-allocate-rs-10-lakh-right-now-3655141.html

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US oil retreats from 2019 high on soaring production

US crude futures eased slightly on March 15 after hitting a 2019 high, as worries about the global economy and robust US production put a brake on prices.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures settled down 9 cents at $58.52 a barrel, having hit their highest so far this year at $58.95.

Brent crude futures settled down 7 cents at $67.16 a barrel, below their 2019 peak of $68.14 reached on March 14.

US crude ended the week 4.1 percent higher, and Brent was up 1.9 percent.

"The market is taking a pause as it tries to digest mixed reports that give us different ideas of future supply and demand," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures group in Chicago. "The OPEC-plus meeting could give us a little direction," he said.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies including Russia, an alliance known as OPEC+, agreed last year to cut production, partly in response to increased U.S. shale output.

OPEC+ ministers will meet on April 17-18 to decide production policy.

"If OPEC+ decide to extend (cuts) ... we expect that inventories will continue to draw through at least Q3," US investment bank Jefferies said.

The International Energy Agency said on March 15 that the market could show a modest surplus in the first quarter of 2019 before flipping into a deficit in the second quarter by about 0.5 million barrels per day (bpd).

It said a comfortable supply cushion by OPEC could prevent any price rally in case of possible disruptions and that non-OPEC oil output growth led by the United States should ensure demand is met.

US energy firms this week reduced the number of oil rigs operating for a fourth week in a row, with drilling slowing to its lowest in nearly a year, prompting the government to cut crude output growth forecasts.

Drillers cut one oil rig in the week to March 15, bringing the total count down to 833, the lowest since April 2018, General Electric Co's Baker Hughes energy services firm said in its closely-followed report on Friday.

Oil price gains have been limited by concerns that an economic slowdown that has gripped large parts of Asia and Europe will dent growth in fuel demand.

But oil consumption has held up so far.

Crude oil use in China, the world's biggest importer, in the first two months of 2019 rose 6.1 percent from a year earlier to a record 12.68 million bpd, official data showed this week.

Goldman Sachs said growth in global demand for crude in January was "nearly 2.0 million barrels per day, with strength visible in both emerging markets and developed economies."

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/commodities/us-oil-retreats-from-2019-high-on-soaring-production-3653221.html

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Sensex gains 100 pts, Nifty above 11,300; IT stocks in focus

Market Opens: It is a flat start for the Indian indices on Wednesday with Nifty below 11,300 level.

The Sensex is down 26.84 points at 37508.82, while Nifty is down 15.20 points at 11286. About 585 shares have advanced, 486 shares declined, and 33 shares are unchanged. 

Interglobe Aviation, Apollo Tyres, Nestle, Eicher Motors, RIL, Wipro, ITC, HUL, Infosys are among major gainers on the indices, while losers are IOC, HPCL, Vedanta, JSW Steel, Kotak Mahindra Bank, ICICI Bank, Tata Motors, Allahabad Bank, Oil India and ONGC.

On the sectoral front, auto, bank, infra and metal indices are witnessing selling pressure, while FMCG ad IT indices are trading with marginal gains.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened marginally lower at 69.74 per dollar on Wednesday against previous close 69.70.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-sensex-gains-100-pts-nifty-above-11300-it-stocks-in-focus-3639631.html

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Sensex falls 100 pts, Nifty around 11k; Tata Motors slips 3%

Market Opens: It is a weak start for the indices on the last day of the truncated week with Nifty below 11,050 level.

The Sensex is down 6.09 points at 36719.33, while Nifty is down 14 points at 11044.20. About 560 shares have advanced, 404 shares declined, and 61 shares are unchanged.

Wipro, Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Hindalco, Vedanta, Asian Paints, Maruti Suzuki, are among major gainers on the indices, while losers are M&M, ITC, HUL, Jet Airways, DHFL, Ashok Leyland and Bharti Infratel.

Among the sectors, auto, bank, metal and IT are trading lower, while FMCG, infra and pharma are witnessing some buying.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened lower by 17 paise at 70.17 per dollar on Friday versus previous close 70.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-sensex-falls-100-pts-nifty-around-11k-tata-motors-slips-3-3622361.html

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Nifty holds above 11,050 in flat trade; metal stocks under pressure

Market Opens: It is a firm start for the Indian indices on Thursday with Nifty trading above 11,050 level.

The Sensex is up 45.83 points at 36681.93, while Nifty is up 4.40 points at 11057.40. About 557 shares have advanced, 285 shares declined, and 45 shares are unchanged. 

IndusInd Bank, Power Grid, HPCL, IOC, BPCL, Tata Motors, Titan, Zee Ent, Gail, Bharti Airtel are some of the gainers in the early trading session, while losers include Biocon, Indiabulls Housing, Tata Steel, Vendata, JSW Steel.

Among the sectoral indices, metal index is under pressure with 1 percent cut, followed by auto, pharma and PSU Bank, while some buying is seen in the energy, infra, FMCG and IT.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee gained in the early trade on Thursday. It opened higher by 20 paise at 70.08 per dollar versus previous close 70.28.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-nifty-holds-above-11050-in-flat-trade-metal-stocks-under-pressure-3616981.html

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Aluminium futures slip 0.31% on muted demand

Aluminium prices fell 0.31 percent to Rs 145.20 per kg in futures trade on Wednesday as speculators cut down their positions, taking negative cues from the spot market on muted demand.

At the Multi Commodity Exchange, aluminium for delivery in March declined by 45 paise, or 0.31 percent, to Rs 145.20 per kg in a business turnover of 2,284 lots.

Likewise, the metal for delivery in April fell by 60 paise, or 0.41 percent, to Rs 145.35 per kg in 137 lots.

Analysts said, cutting down of positions by traders owing to slackened demand from consuming industries in the physical market weighed on aluminium prices in futures trade.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/aluminium-futures-slip-0-31-on-muted-demand-3614381.html

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February keeps up box office momentum in 2019 with business of over Rs 300 crore

While January set the pace for Bollywood in 2019 with collections in the range of Rs 300- Rs 350 crore, February is maintaining the momentum with revenues to the tune of Rs 310 crore. And this is despite no holiday advantage and an added pressure of school examinations.

The month saw films like multi-starrer comedy flick Total Dhamaal and musical drama Gully Boy scoring high at the box office. For the Ranveer Singh-starrer Valentine's Day boosted the film's growth with the film having all the ingredients to attract the young audience.

On the day of love the film grabbed as much as Rs 19.40 crore which is close to 20 percent of the film's week one total. The right content at the right time helped Gully Boy enter the Rs 100 crore club in eight days.

On the other hand, the third installment in the Total Dhamaal franchise clicked with the family audience and managed Rs 99.30 crore in its first week.

Film trade experts are confident that Total Dhamaal will cross Rs 100 on day nine. Its overseas total also stands strong with a business of Rs 30.95 crore in seven days of its release.

While the film faced strong competition from the new release Luka Chuppistarring Kartik Aaryan and Kriti Sanon on day eight, it is still gathering steam.

Looking at Total Dhamaal's solid hold in theatres, film trade analyst Taran Adarsh said that contribution from mass pockets and single screens should not be overlooked and more movies that hold pan-India appeal should be made to expect ache din for trade.

With Total Dhamaal maintaining its rhythm and Luka Chuppi packing up strong revenues, it looks like the genre of comedy will keep the entertainment quotient high even in the month of March.

The other two releases during this month Amavas and Ek Ladki ko Dekha toh Aisa Laga did not contribute much to the overall collections as the former added only Rs 2.85 crore and the latter earned Rs 20 crore.  

But the month had something interesting to celebrate and that was Uri: The Surgical Strike trending even in its seventh week. The spillover effect of Uri added around Rs 66 crore to the grand total and the film yet shows no signs of slowing down despite competition from new releases and holdovers.

Down south a handful of films kept the audience entertained. Out of 10 releases from Tamil and Telugu industries together, RJ Balaji-starrer LKG made waves at the box office.

Reports estimate the film’s collection from the Tamil Nadu market at around Rs 10 crore and worldwide numbers at Rs 16 crore. LKG opened in theatres on February 22.

Telugu film NTR Mahanayakudu despite receiving positive reviews from critics could not hold strong at the box office. Its business in Andhra Pradesh and Telangana market remained disappointing as it could gather Rs 304 lakh by the end of four days of its theatrical run in the two territories.  

As for Hollywood, February saw some decent business coming from James Cameron’s Alita: The Battle Angelthat minted over Rs 8 crore total in India. However, it will be Captain Marvel that will up the interest amid the fan-base for Hollywood films in India.

Source:

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International Market Update (1 March 2019)

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Closing Bell

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Nifty above 10,800, Sensex up 100 pts; IOC, Sun Pharma top gainers

Market Opens: It is a strong start for the indices on Thursday with Nifty trading around 10,850 level.

At 09:18 hrs IST, the Sensex is up 139.66 points at 36045.09, while Nifty is up 40.90 points at 10847.60. About 525 shares have advanced, 138 shares declined, and 33 shares are unchanged. 

Tata Metaliks, Future Retail, Yes Bank, Tata Motors, Coal India, Adani Ports, Quick Heal, Motherson Sumi, Balrampur Chini, Maruti Suzuki are among major gainers on the indices, while losers are ONGC, Wipro, Indiabulls Housing, Jet Airways, Odisha Cement, TCS and HCL Tech.

All the sectoral indices are trading in green led by PSU bank, auto, energy and FMCG.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened lower at 71.26 per dollar on Thursday versus Wednesday's close 71.22.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-nifty-above-10800-sensex-up-100-pts-ioc-sun-pharma-top-gainers-3591771.html

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